China chip design expert warns of losses due to industry overcrowding, says more cautious path to self-sufficiency is needed

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China’s chip design industry is facing a sea of losses this year amid excess competition and a rush into the sector due to Beijing’s focus on greater self-sufficiency, a leading Chinese semiconductor industry expert warned.

Wei Shaojun, president of integrated circuit (IC) design at the China Semiconductor Industry Association (CSIA), told a forum in Guangzhou, capital of southern Guangdong province, on Friday that large swathes of the IC industry would end up in the red this year because of the “blind pursuit” of success in an “extremely difficult” environment.

Wei said although China’s IC design sector achieved 8 per cent growth amid challenging conditions – a reference to tougher US trade sanctions – a majority of chip design firms were not in good shape.

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Wei said Chinese firms should be careful with efforts to achieve greater self-sufficiency in the chips sector so as to avoid domestic replacements of foreign products being considered as “low end”. He added that various challenges remain when it comes to achieving breakthroughs in high-end chips.

In updated rules last month, the US Bureau of Industry and Security tightened export restrictions on both semiconductor equipment and advanced AI chips. Wei said the move will make it harder for China to produce the computing power it needs to develop supercomputers and artificial intelligence.

China added 208 new IC design companies in 2023, bringing the total number to 3,541 in 2023, up from 3,243 in 2022, according to a presentation by Wei citing a report by media outlet Semiconductor Industry Observation.

The IC design industry’s total revenue this year is expected to reach 557.4 billion yuan (US$76.7 billion), up 8 per cent from 2022, although this growth rate is 8.5 percentage points lower than 2022’s rate, according to the same report.

During the first half, 108 listed IC design companies reported total revenue of 135.8 billion yuan, accounting for 23.5 per cent of the industry total, while of those 108 listed firms, 42 ended up in the red during the first half.

The Pearl River Delta region saw the highest industry expansion rate of 49.7 per cent, and Shenzhen, the southern tech hub home to telecoms gear giant Huawei Technologies, contributed the bulk of this headline expansion rate.

With 140 billion yuan of revenue, Shanghai still tops the chart in terms of absolute industry size, followed by Shenzhen with 120 billion yuan and Beijing with 90.7 billion yuan. Hangzhou hit 61.9 billion yuan in revenue.

In 2023, 625 design companies are expected to see their individual sales top 100 million yuan, compared with 566 in the previous year, the report showed. The IC design industry had a total workforce of more than 287,000 people.

This article originally appeared in the South China Morning Post (SCMP), the most authoritative voice reporting on China and Asia for more than a century. For more SCMP stories, please explore the SCMP app or visit the SCMP’s Facebook and Twitter pages. Copyright © 2023 South China Morning Post Publishers Ltd. All rights reserved.

Copyright (c) 2023. South China Morning Post Publishers Ltd. All rights reserved.

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